If Colorado offered MacKinnon, Makar & Georgiev for Matthews straight up (& they were all willing to go along with it with their NTC/NMC clauses), who in Leafs Nation (aside from crazy Matthews fans) wouldn't do that deal? It obviously would never happen but it is another way of saying everybody is tradeable. Gretzky was traded.
It is the duty of a GM to look at all the credible options and do whatever he can to put the best teams together he can. In that way, no one is untouchable but their NMCs may be an insurmountable obstacle/complication that limits their options severely. NTC/NMC clauses were formalized in the 2005 CBA but have been around for decades before that. We didn't have sites like CapFriendly to keep track of them. It seemed more confidential back then. I do not recall hearing nearly as much about them. A number of deals probably never got done because of them but we never heard about it. Today, it seems about 20% of the league has a NTC or NMC clause which has to be substantially more than decades ago. Add in the cap/CBA and it is more difficult to haggle a trade.
Although I liked Samsonov, I never thought Samsonov was a likely Cup winner. With him & the Leafs 2023-4 dmen, they weren't likely to win much of anything. They had $18.8 mil to spend on UFAs last summer and were a worse roster of talent than the spring of last year. So it wasn't a shock as they played like it down the stretch with special teams problems that carried on into the playoffs.
Playoffs arrive. Matthews & Nylander are injured for a number of playoff games. The coach puts Tavares & Marner on a checking line against Pastrnak with a lot of d-zone starts. The PP & PK problems down the stretch are not corrected and brutal in the playoffs. Up against Boston, one of the better defensive teams in the NHL, with the above circumstances, is it any wonder why they had trouble scoring? Seemed kind of obvious.
To me, maybe the most surprising thing was they made it a 7 game series. They were never a true contender. They needed a bunch of luck.
Marner becomes the media pi?ata in part because as the team's leading playoff scorer and top playoff powerplay scorer over the past 8 seasons, he apparently hasn't done enough in the playoffs. And the apparent hope is, they'll take his cap money if they can get him to leave and spend it more wisely than they did last summer. Few seem to remember that management never successfully addressed the shortfalls of last summer. It wasn't all their fault - it was a pretty barren UFA, market for their dman needs.
This is a dangerous game to play because a hometown player who is a top 10 scorer in the league since he arrived may leave for nothing. If he does, they'll have all kinds of cap space next year to spend in a UFA market which is arguably the worst place to shop for price performance needed to build a Cup contender. They're already going to get a bunch of cap space from Tavares deal ending in summer 2025 too. Yet in 2023 summer, they couldn't find $18 mil cap in decent players they needed on the UFA market. So how much will $51.8 mil to spend in 2025 help them? They do not have a lot of prospect/picks to throw at trades either as those are needed to help keep them under the cap in subsequent seasons.
The one view that did it for me was working out how things will look in 2025-26 when Tavares comes off the books. Give Marner Nylander money. Add Cowan & Minten at entry level salaries. They have oodles of cap space to re-sign Knies, Woll & Holdberg, re-sign McCabe and add 2 other top 4 dmen, etc.
Matthews is around for 4 more seasons. Not one. The roster decisions should look at taking multiple kicks to win a Cup during those 4 years- not get some cap space in year one that could hurt the following three years.
It is not as simple a decision as the media seems to be making it out to be.
The one person who might benefit nuking Marner would be Shanahan as it might help them do more next season than they otherwise would as his contract expires. But if Treliving waits until after July 1 for a sign and trade, a bunch of the UFA market for next season will have signed.
Anything is possible but I'm pessimistic dumping Marner is good for the next four Cup runs with Matthews. We'll see soon enough what Treliving comes up with.
It is the duty of a GM to look at all the credible options and do whatever he can to put the best teams together he can. In that way, no one is untouchable but their NMCs may be an insurmountable obstacle/complication that limits their options severely. NTC/NMC clauses were formalized in the 2005 CBA but have been around for decades before that. We didn't have sites like CapFriendly to keep track of them. It seemed more confidential back then. I do not recall hearing nearly as much about them. A number of deals probably never got done because of them but we never heard about it. Today, it seems about 20% of the league has a NTC or NMC clause which has to be substantially more than decades ago. Add in the cap/CBA and it is more difficult to haggle a trade.
Although I liked Samsonov, I never thought Samsonov was a likely Cup winner. With him & the Leafs 2023-4 dmen, they weren't likely to win much of anything. They had $18.8 mil to spend on UFAs last summer and were a worse roster of talent than the spring of last year. So it wasn't a shock as they played like it down the stretch with special teams problems that carried on into the playoffs.
Playoffs arrive. Matthews & Nylander are injured for a number of playoff games. The coach puts Tavares & Marner on a checking line against Pastrnak with a lot of d-zone starts. The PP & PK problems down the stretch are not corrected and brutal in the playoffs. Up against Boston, one of the better defensive teams in the NHL, with the above circumstances, is it any wonder why they had trouble scoring? Seemed kind of obvious.
To me, maybe the most surprising thing was they made it a 7 game series. They were never a true contender. They needed a bunch of luck.
Marner becomes the media pi?ata in part because as the team's leading playoff scorer and top playoff powerplay scorer over the past 8 seasons, he apparently hasn't done enough in the playoffs. And the apparent hope is, they'll take his cap money if they can get him to leave and spend it more wisely than they did last summer. Few seem to remember that management never successfully addressed the shortfalls of last summer. It wasn't all their fault - it was a pretty barren UFA, market for their dman needs.
This is a dangerous game to play because a hometown player who is a top 10 scorer in the league since he arrived may leave for nothing. If he does, they'll have all kinds of cap space next year to spend in a UFA market which is arguably the worst place to shop for price performance needed to build a Cup contender. They're already going to get a bunch of cap space from Tavares deal ending in summer 2025 too. Yet in 2023 summer, they couldn't find $18 mil cap in decent players they needed on the UFA market. So how much will $51.8 mil to spend in 2025 help them? They do not have a lot of prospect/picks to throw at trades either as those are needed to help keep them under the cap in subsequent seasons.
The one view that did it for me was working out how things will look in 2025-26 when Tavares comes off the books. Give Marner Nylander money. Add Cowan & Minten at entry level salaries. They have oodles of cap space to re-sign Knies, Woll & Holdberg, re-sign McCabe and add 2 other top 4 dmen, etc.
Matthews is around for 4 more seasons. Not one. The roster decisions should look at taking multiple kicks to win a Cup during those 4 years- not get some cap space in year one that could hurt the following three years.
It is not as simple a decision as the media seems to be making it out to be.
The one person who might benefit nuking Marner would be Shanahan as it might help them do more next season than they otherwise would as his contract expires. But if Treliving waits until after July 1 for a sign and trade, a bunch of the UFA market for next season will have signed.
Anything is possible but I'm pessimistic dumping Marner is good for the next four Cup runs with Matthews. We'll see soon enough what Treliving comes up with.