Leafs 2016/2017 Schedule in 10 game chunks

[Coco-puffs]

Gardiner-Zaitsev sport at 43.8% CF% (46.25% SZV adj.) and a 37.5% GF% with a normal PDO of 99.  Small sample size of course, and granted they have led most of those games but overall, Rielly-Zaitsev looks like the better long term play based on CF% being more predictive of future success.

It's definitely too early to read into the GF% right now. The raw stats are just 3 for and 5 against, so really one good game could push them back up to 50% (or one bad could make it look significantly worse). All in all a 2.60 GA/60 together is actually pretty good. It's the GF side of the equation that needs some work. Rielly-Zaitsev was sporting a 5.35 GA/60 in February/March before the break-up.

As for CF%, yeah it's not great. Jake got absolutely shellacked in the games against TB, BOS, and NSH. If the pairing stayed together and we got more data would we see those as outliers eventually or are we predicting that he'll be under 27% in 3 out of every 8 games? I don't know, but I think it's definitely too early to make any definite statements about this.

I was being hyperbolic with my last statement to be honest.  I'm not really drawing any definitive conclusions so far either.  I just wanted to point out that Gardiner switching with Rielly may have led us to more wins, but I'm not so sure Gardiner-Zaitsev is really how we want to move forward long term for our top pair.  (ie, assuming we aren't acquiring someone to join our Top-4) 

 

[Zee]

You guys are dirtying up my chunk thread with a bunch of analytical mumbo jumbo.  Green is good, red is bad.

 

[LuncheonMeat]

You guys are dirtying up my chunk thread with a bunch of analytical mumbo jumbo.  Green is good, red is bad.

Do you have the statistical evidence to back that up?

 

[rdowdall]

You guys are dirtying up my chunk thread with a bunch of analytical mumbo jumbo.  Green is good, red is bad.

Do you have the statistical evidence to back that up?

Human eyes notice green more than any other color?

 

[CarltonTheBear]

You guys are dirtying up my chunk thread with a bunch of analytical mumbo jumbo.  Green is good, red is bad.

My rebuttal:

 

[herman]

My rebuttal:

Spoiler alert: Red wins

 

[Zee]

 

[L K]

You guys are dirtying up my chunk thread with a bunch of analytical mumbo jumbo.  Green is good, red is bad.

Explain all that orange all over your 10-game summaries then.  Seems like you have no problem mixing colours.

 

[Zee]

This is already the second best chunk of the entire season with 6 wins.  Can top the 7 win chunk from earlier (and may need to considering Boston and Tampa so close)

 

[Bullfrog]

Zee, those charts are beautiful. Don't you listen to those nay-sayers!

 

[Bender]

It's amazing that there's so many teams still in the mix, although unless we lose all our remaining games we are in pretty good shape.*

*Note: If they do lose all their remaining games this post shall be exempt as evidence for my jinxing the team.

 

[Zee]

 

[Zee]

It's amazing that there's so many teams still in the mix, although unless we lose all our remaining games we are in pretty good shape.*

*Note: If they do lose all their remaining games this post shall be exempt as evidence for my jinxing the team.

Leafs are something like 10-2-1 in the their last 13, imagine if they had played even a tiny bit worse over that stretch?  They'd be on the outside looking in.  Crazy that with a stretch like this it's still up in the air.

 

[Zee]

This is a chunk for the ages.

 

[Zee]

If the Leafs lose in regulation to Tampa on Thursday, there's going to be some tight collars in Leafs nation.

 

[Zee]

Chunk summary
3-4-3
5-4-1
4-3-3
7-2-1
5-4-1
4-3-3
4-3-3
7-3-0
-------
39-26-15

 

[Zee]

 

[Zee]

Final results

Chunk summary
3-4-3
5-4-1
4-3-3
7-2-1
5-4-1
4-3-3
4-3-3
7-3-0
1-1-0
-------
40-27-15

 

[Guru Tugginmypuddah]

Thanks for doing this Zee.

 

[Zee]

Thanks for doing this Zee.