hockeyfan1
New member
TBLeafer said:
I agree. The way they're playing, it's tough to stop a Matthews.
Leafs 2016/2017 Schedule in 10 game chunks
- Thread starter Zee
- Start date
I agree. The way they're playing, it's tough to stop a Matthews.
Redleaf
Active member
Zee said:
You may think I made a mistake and copied that 4-0 win twice in a row, but I didn't, oh no sir I did not!
Yeah. This team is firing on all cylinders right now. They appear to be getting better and better. I'm sure they'll hit a rut at some point in the back half , but right now they seem unstoppable.
Highlander
Active member
Time to knock wood and stay healthy. Good they did the last two games without Mogen, looks good on them
Highlander
Active member
Ya Ken Dryden style goaltending and a scoring machine!nutman said:
hockeyfan1
New member
Two straight shutouts, eh?! Looks like this chunk is turning out better than expected. (*keeping fingers crossed*)
GO LEAFS GO!
GO LEAFS GO!
bustaheims
Active member
Zee said:
3rd most shot attempts against per 60 minutes 5-on-5, 5th most scoring chances against per 60 minutes 5-on-5, and 5th most goals against per 60 minutes 5-on-5, as well. Defence definitely needs improvement. A couple good goaltending performances against bad teams doesn't change that.
WhatIfGodWasALeaf
Active member
bustaheims said:
While I agree with what you're saying, there have been some decent articles recently positing that this is a byproduct of the system that generates close to league leading offense.
bustaheims
Active member
WhatIfGodWasALeaf said:
That seems to be true, to an extent. There are some high scoring teams that are bucking that trend in terms of shot attempts and such, and most are noticeably better than the Leafs in terms of 5-on-5 goals against/60. It may not be an area that's quite as disastrous as some of the numbers imply, but it's definitely an area that needs improvement.
herman
Well-known member
The Leafs are tracking very closely to the Penguins in most per 60 measures.
Sources: corsica, hockey-reference, sportsnet
Aside from the game, goal, points counts, these numbers are score/venue/zone adjusted.
What this wall of numbers tells me is that the Leafs are in a really good starting place right now. They're comparable to the reigning Stanley Cup champions in advanced metrics, play a similar multi-line speed/skill game that takes it up close and personal to the net front, and are ~10 years behind them on the development curve. The early run of oopsie games is the difference in standings. The Leafs are actually under performing a bit on the scoresheet relative to their expected goals for (GF < xGF).
Blueline management is something to continue cleaning up as our CA60 attests. Once the other team sets up, it's multiple chances each time, so it's best to improve on reducing zone entries. Andersen is covering up a lot of ills here, but he's part of the team and that still counts; ideally we want the team playing so well that he is nearly irrelevant.
Sources: corsica, hockey-reference, sportsnet
Aside from the game, goal, points counts, these numbers are score/venue/zone adjusted.
| Toronto | Rank | Rank | Pittsburgh | |||||
46 | -- | GP | -- | 47 | ||||
1.20 | 12 | Pt% | 4 | 1.38 | ||||
22 | 7 | ROW | 5 | 28 | ||||
144 | 8 | GF | 1 | 169 | ||||
131 | 12 | GA | 20 | 137 | ||||
63.73 | 2 | CF60 | 4 | 61.27 | ||||
59.79 | 24 | CA60 | 23 | 59.58 | ||||
51.60 | 5 | CF% | 12 | 50.70 | ||||
47.54 | 2 | FF60 | 3 | 46.70 | ||||
45.67 | 28 | FA60 | 21 | 42.92 | ||||
51.00 | 10 | FF% | 5 | 52.11 | ||||
9.78 | 2 | SCF60 | 1 | 9.94 | ||||
8.32 | 21 | SCA60 | 27 | 8.87 | ||||
54.02 | 3 | SCF% | 7 | 52.83 | ||||
3.11 | 1 | xGF60 | 2 | 3.09 | ||||
2.75 | 27 | xGA60 | 26 | 2.71 | ||||
53.07 | 5 | xGF% | 4 | 53.27 | ||||
2.86 | 5 | GF60 | 2 | 3.03 | ||||
2.57 | 22 | GA60 | 18 | 2.47 | ||||
52.73 | 10 | GF% | 4 | 55.13 | ||||
-20 | 25 | PenDiff | 2 | 33 |
What this wall of numbers tells me is that the Leafs are in a really good starting place right now. They're comparable to the reigning Stanley Cup champions in advanced metrics, play a similar multi-line speed/skill game that takes it up close and personal to the net front, and are ~10 years behind them on the development curve. The early run of oopsie games is the difference in standings. The Leafs are actually under performing a bit on the scoresheet relative to their expected goals for (GF < xGF).
Blueline management is something to continue cleaning up as our CA60 attests. Once the other team sets up, it's multiple chances each time, so it's best to improve on reducing zone entries. Andersen is covering up a lot of ills here, but he's part of the team and that still counts; ideally we want the team playing so well that he is nearly irrelevant.
