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Playoffs Round 1: Toronto Maple Leafs (A2) vs Tampa Bay Lightning (A3)

Take out Lafferty and ZAR and replace them with Bunting and Simmonds. Give Bunting some back up so he doesn't have to be the tough guy.

Give Gio and Holl a game off and insert Liljegren and Gustafsson (Swede connection).

Go with some fresh legs. Get some jump in their game.

Leafs have some depth, they should use it.
 
Dappleganger said:
Take out Lafferty and ZAR and replace them with Bunting and Simmonds. Give Bunting some back up so he doesn't have to be the tough guy.

Give Gio and Holl a game off and insert Liljegren and Gustafsson (Swede connection).

Go with some fresh legs. Get some jump in their game.

Leafs have some depth, they should use it.

Not a good idea to change 4 of 18 skaters, including 2 Ds.

As for Bunting, I can see good arguments for him to be in or out of the line-up.

TBH, is a good thing to have those kind of "problems"

 
Guilt Trip said:
Arn said:
I don?t think I bring Bunting back in yet.

I think putting him back in straight away gives Tampa a focal point to fire them up and they don?t need any further encouragement.

We?ll need him later in the series or the later rounds.
So we're scared of how TBay will react or get extra motivation? They won't need it on Thursday. And if they want to focus on Bunting, good, go ahead. I'm still on the fence but only because they've won 3 in a row but shouldn't we be playing our best? Play like we're down 3-1, play to win. Bunting is a lot better then Lafferty and ZAR so putting Kerfoot down on the 4th line and Bunting with ROR.
I seriously hope when he does go back in they chase him all over the ice and punch him every chance they get and get penalized for it. He just needs to not engage in that stuff.

I'm leaning more toward playing him in a sheltered role.  Third or 4th line and not in the top 6.  He's still a back to back 20 goal scorer and has 3 points in 7GP last playoffs.

The Leafs stole two wins playing 1-2 periods of good hockey along with a few other brief spurts.  If Tampa wants to chase Bunting around the ice in an elimination game so be it.  I'd probably take ZAR out of the lineup over Lafferty but I don't think either guy has really done enough to stay in the lineup 
 
Zanzibar Buck-Buck McFate said:
On another topic, the position the Leafs find themselves in has made the Keep/Fire Dubas question rather simple.  If they blow this series, there's no way they can keep him.  If they don't, there's almost no way they can fire him.  I hedge that last remark a bit ... I guess if they got absolutely blown out in R2 they might can him.

Can you expand on this for me please? I am struggling to understand what action Dubas can take which would impact the series. Inputs vs. outputs, Dubas has - for better or worse - finished his work. He's now little more than a high profile fan.
 
Kaberle15 said:
Dappleganger said:
Take out Lafferty and ZAR and replace them with Bunting and Simmonds. Give Bunting some back up so he doesn't have to be the tough guy.

Give Gio and Holl a game off and insert Liljegren and Gustafsson (Swede connection).

Go with some fresh legs. Get some jump in their game.

Leafs have some depth, they should use it.

Not a good idea to change 4 of 18 skaters, including 2 Ds.

As for Bunting, I can see good arguments for him to be in or out of the line-up.

TBH, is a good thing to have those kind of "problems"

Generally I would agree with you, but it isn't very often an NHL team would have two very capable NHL defensemen waiting in the wings. The Gio/Holl pairing aren't having a lot of success so far this series. Give them a night off.

Screenshot-2023-04-26-at-9-30-42-AM.png

 
Dappleganger said:
Generally I would agree with you, but it isn't very often an NHL team would have two very capable NHL defensemen waiting in the wings. The Gio/Holl pairing aren't having a lot of success so far this series. Give them a night off.

Screenshot-2023-04-26-at-9-30-42-AM.png

I get where you're coming from, and I partially agree. I think you rest one of them, but not the entire pair. Maybe put Liljagren in for Holl. He's played well with Gio in the past, and having his transition game in the lineup could also really improve things.

I'd be very cautious of putting Gustafsson in the lineup right now. Too much risk of him being exposed defensively.
 
bustaheims said:
Dappleganger said:
Generally I would agree with you, but it isn't very often an NHL team would have two very capable NHL defensemen waiting in the wings. The Gio/Holl pairing aren't having a lot of success so far this series. Give them a night off.

Screenshot-2023-04-26-at-9-30-42-AM.png

I get where you're coming from, and I partially agree. I think you rest one of them, but not the entire pair. Maybe put Liljagren in for Holl. He's played well with Gio in the past, and having his transition game in the lineup could also really improve things.

I'd be very cautious of putting Gustafsson in the lineup right now. Too much risk of him being exposed defensively.

IF the Leafs can win tonight, I really like the idea of giving Gio about a week off.
 
https://twitter.com/EddieInTheYard/status/1651235153929273346

Tampa appears to not be making any line-up changes prior to game 5.
 
CarltonTheBear said:
https://twitter.com/EddieInTheYard/status/1651235153929273346

Tampa appears to not be making any line-up changes prior to game 5.

I'm surprised they plan to stack the top line without last change.
 
https://theathletic.com/4450349/2023/04/25/maple-leafs-lightning-playoff-series/
Why is Toronto struggling to start games, tactically speaking?
The tactics are fine, actually (see later in the game), but it's a matter of execution of retrieval and breakout plays to bypass Tampa's extremely aggressive forechecking that they're using to insulate their defense.

What?s also impressed some of the NHL coaches from other teams and former players I?ve talked to about Tampa?s play during this series is they?ve used a very tight gap on the Leafs, forcing them out of their system and to make poor decisions with the puck again and again.

The Leafs typically don?t like to chip the puck out of the zone and give up possession, which makes sense. But they?re struggling to make clean plays because of the aggressiveness of the Lightning forecheck, which is disrupting what Toronto?s defence is able to do, which in turn disrupts the whole team?s ability to rush up the ice. That level of aggressiveness is something the Leafs? defence hasn?t seen a ton of this season, as it?s a really hard way to play over the course of 82 games.

Toronto?s back end, other than Rielly, isn?t exactly the fleetest group, either, which is one reason we?re likely seeing Lightning coach Jon Cooper target them in this way. But I think it also caught up with Tampa late in Game 4, as the older Lightning didn?t seem to have the legs to fend off the high-octane push from Toronto?s best players.

It's a very small sample so far, and two of them being blowouts in either direction doesn't help us glean too much meaning from the underlying statistics; on top of that, games 3 and 4 were both a tale of two different games. Our bottom 6 get plenty of minutes in the opening half and absorb pretty much the brunt of Tampa's attack (massively lopsided attempts/chances/xG/G against) and then when we start chasing the score and Tampa's energy wanes, the top 6 start to cook and even out their numbers while the 4th line stews on the bench in their numbers. Similarly for the defense metrics: McCabe/Brodie, Gio/Holl eat poop assignments for 30 min, and then Rielly gets to feast off score effects and open space with our heavy hitters for the rest of the game.
 
herman said:
It's a very small sample so far, and two of them being blowouts in either direction doesn't help us glean too much meaning from the underlying statistics; on top of that, games 3 and 4 were both a tale of two different games. Our bottom 6 get plenty of minutes in the opening half and absorb pretty much the brunt of Tampa's attack (massively lopsided attempts/chances/xG/G against) and then when we start chasing the score and Tampa's energy wanes, the top 6 start to cook and even out their numbers while the 4th line stews on the bench in their numbers. Similarly for the defense metrics: McCabe/Brodie, Gio/Holl eat poop assignments for 30 min, and then Rielly gets to feast off score effects and open space with our heavy hitters for the rest of the game.

So Leafs should just ice the puck for the first half of the game. 
 
https://twitter.com/markhmasters/status/1651258762928308231

Leafs using the same lines they switched to in game 4 at practice today. Including most notably Knies with Tavares and Marner.

Might not be a full confirmation that Bunting is staying out, but that's what they're showing for now.
 
CarltonTheBear said:
https://twitter.com/markhmasters/status/1651258762928308231

Leafs using the same lines they switched to in game 4 at practice today. Including most notably Knies with Tavares and Marner.

Might not be a full confirmation that Bunting is staying out, but that's what they're showing for now.

Pretty much what I would do. I'd MAYBE put Bunting in over Lafferty but I just don't trust him not to be an idiot and consistently have our team in the box.
 
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