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Standings- position

Update of the various contributors . . .

Number of points gained by Leafs or lost by an opponent to eliminate them from being able to pass the Leafs:

Florida
Carolina
Tampa
Buffalo
Philly
New Jersey
Winnipeg - 4
================= playoff team cut line
NYR - 5
NYI - 7
Washington - 8
Ottawa - 10

Not much change tonight, unfortunately.
 
All of this premature media hype about a Montreal-Toronto showdown jinxed the Leafs. Yes, I will blame it on that.

A few tweets I came across:

@stats_canada: 4 out of 5 Canadians list their favourite NHL team as "whoever the Leafs are playing"

‏@SensNation
#Sens will overtake Leafs on 2nd last day of season & play Habs in round 1. Media will crucify them for robbing country of TOR/MTL match up

^ That last one just might happen with Ottawa's win tonight. They're right there.

Seriously the media just needs to shut it until things are figuratively written in stone.
 
Arn said:
So a win tonight and a Winnipeg loss tonight would do it?
Click to expand...

If Leafs lose to Isles, the Isles better beat Winnipeg next game.  A loss by the Jets would really deflate their spirits and the Leafs would know they only need to win 1.
 
Meanwhile, Montreal loses again, allowing Boston to tie them in points with a game in hand (though the Habs have the most regulation + OT wins, not including shootouts, for the tiebreaker).  Their goaltending and defensive woes continue.
 
Stickytape said:
Meanwhile, Montreal loses again, allowing Boston to tie them in points with a game in hand (though the Habs have the most regulation + OT wins, not including shootouts, for the tiebreaker).  Their goaltending and defensive woes continue.
Click to expand...

Tiebreaker won't matter if Boston wins that game in hand.  They're in the drivers seat as long as they match/better the Habs record for the next 6 games.
 
Zee said:
Stickytape said:
Meanwhile, Montreal loses again, allowing Boston to tie them in points with a game in hand (though the Habs have the most regulation + OT wins, not including shootouts, for the tiebreaker).  Their goaltending and defensive woes continue.
Click to expand...

Tiebreaker won't matter if Boston wins that game in hand.  They're in the drivers seat as long as they match/better the Habs record for the next 6 games.
Click to expand...

Boston is only ahead in the current standings where they're tied in points because of the game in hand = a better pts win%. Montreal leads Boston 23-22 in ROWs. Montreal also won the head-to-head season points series between the two teams. Odds are that Boston must finish with more points to stay ahead of Montreal who has the edge in the tiebreaker.

And that's important because the Leafs are most likely to play the #4 or #5 team. I'd prefer the Leafs face the Habs if they don't win their division outright (2% chance of that).
 
After that Caps game, I'm hoping big time the Leafs avoid finishing lower than 5th. 6th would be a death sentence, IMO. Right now I would rather face Boston than the Caps.

4th seems possible with a win toinght and at least a point vs. Ottawa tomorrow.  Habs are crashing at the absolute wrong time for them. 

Of course, considering how playoff starved we are, anything in the top 8 is ok at this point!

 
How does the reality of a possible Montreal-Toronto first round with Toronto having home ice advantage shape up with us 4 points back with 5 to play.  Montreal is reeling right now with 3 straight losses and and getting terrible goaltending.  Toronto is 9-2-4 in their last 15.  We only need to get to within 2 points of them to set up the season finale so one more win than them in the next 4 games.  We should take them in tiebreakers if we end up tied in points after a win in the season finale.

Toronto road to season finale against Habs:
NYI @ Tor
Tor @ Ott (Who has Home ice adv. here?)
Tor @ TB
Tor @ Flor
Mon @ Tor

There is not one team on this list that is a guaranteed loss and every matchup is very winnable.  Home ice advantage is there if we want it.  RC needs to rally his troops and drive this home.

Habs road to season finale against Leafs:
TB @ Mon
Wash @ Mon
Mon @ NJ
Mon @ Wpg
Mon @ Tor

Wash is a tough game at home for the Habs and Wpg still fighting for a playoff may be a tough one as well. Wpg has won 4 games in a row and sit tied for 8th spot.  Montreal's last 3 games of the season are on the road. We have been waiting for the Habs to falter all season and it is finally looking like this may come to fruition. I am going to go out on a limb and say we face the Habs with home ice adv in round one and Deebo gets his wish.
 
Corn Flake said:
After that Caps game, I'm hoping big time the Leafs avoid finishing lower than 5th. 6th would be a death sentence, IMO. Right now I would rather face Boston than the Caps.

4th seems possible with a win toinght and at least a point vs. Ottawa tomorrow.  Habs are crashing at the absolute wrong time for them. 

Of course, considering how playoff starved we are, anything in the top 8 is ok at this point!
Click to expand...

This was a test to see if the Caps were for real or if they were simply beating up on their weak division; they are definitely legit and have gotten hot at a great time.

Boston seems flat and beatable most nights...plus it's a different Leafs team than the one that was so embarassed last yr. Obviously the Habs are better to play against, but I'm not nearly as scared to play BOS as I would've been.

There is no team that would mean more in a playoff victory than against Boston--it would be like slaying the dragon.

 
proteus2000 said:
Corn Flake said:
After that Caps game, I'm hoping big time the Leafs avoid finishing lower than 5th. 6th would be a death sentence, IMO. Right now I would rather face Boston than the Caps.

4th seems possible with a win toinght and at least a point vs. Ottawa tomorrow.  Habs are crashing at the absolute wrong time for them. 

Of course, considering how playoff starved we are, anything in the top 8 is ok at this point!
Click to expand...

This was a test to see if the Caps were for real or if they were simply beating up on their weak division; they are definitely legit and have gotten hot at a great time.

Boston seems flat and beatable most nights...plus it's a different Leafs team than the one that was so embarassed last yr. Obviously the Habs are better to play against, but I'm not nearly as scared to play BOS as I would've been.

There is no team that would mean more in a playoff victory than against Boston--it would be like slaying the dragon.
Click to expand...


That I agree with 100%.
 
nutman said:
proteus2000 said:
Corn Flake said:
After that Caps game, I'm hoping big time the Leafs avoid finishing lower than 5th. 6th would be a death sentence, IMO. Right now I would rather face Boston than the Caps.

4th seems possible with a win toinght and at least a point vs. Ottawa tomorrow.  Habs are crashing at the absolute wrong time for them. 

Of course, considering how playoff starved we are, anything in the top 8 is ok at this point!
Click to expand...

This was a test to see if the Caps were for real or if they were simply beating up on their weak division; they are definitely legit and have gotten hot at a great time.

Boston seems flat and beatable most nights...plus it's a different Leafs team than the one that was so embarassed last yr. Obviously the Habs are better to play against, but I'm not nearly as scared to play BOS as I would've been.

There is no team that would mean more in a playoff victory than against Boston--it would be like slaying the dragon.
Click to expand...

That I agree with 100%.
Click to expand...

I agree 95%, but withhold 5% agreement because of the font.
 
Heroic Shrimp said:
nutman said:
proteus2000 said:
Corn Flake said:
After that Caps game, I'm hoping big time the Leafs avoid finishing lower than 5th. 6th would be a death sentence, IMO. Right now I would rather face Boston than the Caps.

4th seems possible with a win toinght and at least a point vs. Ottawa tomorrow.  Habs are crashing at the absolute wrong time for them. 

Of course, considering how playoff starved we are, anything in the top 8 is ok at this point!
Click to expand...

This was a test to see if the Caps were for real or if they were simply beating up on their weak division; they are definitely legit and have gotten hot at a great time.

Boston seems flat and beatable most nights...plus it's a different Leafs team than the one that was so embarassed last yr. Obviously the Habs are better to play against, but I'm not nearly as scared to play BOS as I would've been.

There is no team that would mean more in a playoff victory than against Boston--it would be like slaying the dragon.
Click to expand...

That I agree with 100%.
Click to expand...

I agree 95%, but withhold 5% agreement because of the font.
Click to expand...

Agreed. It's a deviant, dastardly, defiant font.  ;)
 
Isles, Sens, and Rangers won. Jets are about to win also.

Worst night possible for the Leafs in terms of others gaining ground.

The 5th seed doesn't seem so certain anymore.
 
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