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bustaheims said:Things right now point to Biden eking out a win - like, hitting the 270 mark exactly with Arizona, Nevada, Michigan, Wisconsin, and Maine's 2 state votes and one of their congressional districts. Hopefully, he can also flip at least one of Pennsylvania, North Carolina, and Georgia. Without that, we're looking at the tightest election in modern history (by the electoral college, at least - Biden has a significant lead in the popular vote).
Quite frankly, unless Biden sweeps all three potential swing states, it's going to be a narrow margin of EC victory - which, historically, have tended to favour Republicans - Democrats tend to win by significant margins, with the last Democratic president to win by less than 100 electoral college votes being Jimmy Carter. Meanwhile, the Republicans have won 3 elections since by that narrow a margin, and could potentially win a 4th tonight. Of course, between 1892 (when the electoral college expanded to 444 votes from 401 in the previous 2 elections, and 369 or less in all elections preceding that) and 1976, there had only been 2 other elections decided by that narrow a margin.
Significantly Insignificant said:So, I am not well versed in American politics. Isn't the electoral college the only thing that matters, or is there a case where the popular vote comes in to play?
Zee said:Biden has got this. It's like a 4-1 lead late in game 7 of a series, very unlikely to lose.
Guilt Trip said:The simple fact that this assclown has so far received over 4 million more votes then he did in 2016 makes you really scratch your head.
Significantly Insignificant said:How many states are going to have to do recounts after this? I doubt that Trump will eventually conceded the way Gore did in 2000.
Significantly Insignificant said:How many states are going to have to do recounts after this? I doubt that Trump will eventually conceded the way Gore did in 2000.
bustaheims said:I mean, a decisive victory in Nevada for Biden would make it impossible for Trump to win, now that at Michigan has been call for Biden. So, if that can come out tonight...
herman said:What results trackers were people using?
I was flipping between Politico, NYT, AP, and 538, and they all painted a pretty calm narrow victory for Biden throughout the evening. But my timeline looked like it was melting down last night. Were people just expecting everything to cruise into blue?
herman said:What results trackers were people using?
I was flipping between Politico, NYT, AP, and 538, and they all painted a pretty calm narrow victory for Biden throughout the evening. But my timeline looked like it was melting down last night. Were people just expecting everything to cruise into blue?