Too bad, a contested convention sounded fun (at least for those watching from the outside).
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CarltonTheBear said:Too bad, a contested convention sounded fun (at least for those watching from the outside).
CarltonTheBear said:[tweet]728297587418247168[/tweet]
I'm genuinely surprised that he's not wearing a sombrero.
CarltonTheBear said:[tweet]728297587418247168[/tweet]
I'm genuinely surprised that he's not wearing a sombrero.
CarltonTheBear said:Saw this floating around as a comment on Obama's remarks:
Obama saying that world leaders are rattled by Trump are just going to make more idiots want to vote for him.
CarltonTheBear said:Saw this floating around as a comment on Obama's remarks:
Obama saying that world leaders are rattled by Trump are just going to make more idiots want to vote for him.
Dappleganger said:I'm actually worried that Hillary will be such an unappealing candidate Trump might win this.
bustaheims said:Dappleganger said:I'm actually worried that Hillary will be such an unappealing candidate Trump might win this.
I honestly don't know. I'm concerned about that, but, at the same time, I also see a very real possibility that Trump has alienated a significant enough portion of Republican voters to even things out. I also think the mere possibility that Trump could win might mobilize enough people to vote for Clinton solely to keep him out of office. And, while I don't think Hillary will be a particularly inspiring president, I don't think she'll be a particularly detrimental one, either. In fact, other than being the first female president, I expect she'll fit nicely into this group:
mr grieves said:Republicans seem to be falling into line. Might be a feature of that party, or maybe it's because the Democrats nominated the one name in national party that unites the opposing party into a ball of fury.
I'm most concerned that the race will play out as a repeat of Martha Coakley vs. Scott Brown in 2010. For non-Americans: a special Senate election wherein a competent but uncharismatic and message-less neoliberal technocrat lost to a faux populist bully who offered nothing tangible to the electorate but, by speaking to (stoking) their cultural resentment of elites, managed to win Ted freaking Kennedy's seat! It Can't Happen Here, we all thought. And then it did.
Brown wasn't nearly the buffoon that Trump is, but he also didn't hit the right-wing nationalist notes as effectively.
Nik the Trik said:mr grieves said:Republicans seem to be falling into line. Might be a feature of that party, or maybe it's because the Democrats nominated the one name in national party that unites the opposing party into a ball of fury.
I'm most concerned that the race will play out as a repeat of Martha Coakley vs. Scott Brown in 2010. For non-Americans: a special Senate election wherein a competent but uncharismatic and message-less neoliberal technocrat lost to a faux populist bully who offered nothing tangible to the electorate but, by speaking to (stoking) their cultural resentment of elites, managed to win Ted freaking Kennedy's seat! It Can't Happen Here, we all thought. And then it did.
Brown wasn't nearly the buffoon that Trump is, but he also didn't hit the right-wing nationalist notes as effectively.
I think the problem with that on a national level is that the demographics are just so bad for Republicans that a nation-wide appeal to populism can't be based on the sort of old divides that Trump is looking to exploit.
To win a national election Republicans almost certainly have to win Florida, a state that is now 37% black or hispanic. They also probably have to flip Virginia which is also only about 60% white. Even then they'd have to flip two of Ohio, Pennsylvania and Michigan.
If Trump were just an economic populist that'd be one thing and it would have some sway in a relatively ethnically homogeneous state like Mass. but to also be as unappealing to Black and Hispanic voters as he is?
Real Clear Politics just put up a new Florida poll that has Clinton up on Trump by 3 and Libertarian Gary Johnson polling at 6%. I wouldn't say this with 100% certainty but I would not be surprised if we never saw another poll with Trump ahead in a crucial state.