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Tank Nation UNITE!!!

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Just since we were basically having the same conversation in 2 different threads I moved the Lupul talk over here: http://www.tmlfans.ca/community/index.php?topic=2926.0
 
A big night for the tank!!

A win by Columbus over Buffalo puts the Leafs firmly in the bottom 5 by 5 points. 
Carolina is winning 1-0 against Philadelphia, and a win puts them within 2 points of Toronto

Will Arizona EVER win another game??  Tonight would be a good start.  The Leafs desperately need 28th place to assure Strome, since this would allow a buffer in case someone above them in the standings wins the lottery.

Go Tank!!!!
 
LuncheonMeat said:
Will Arizona EVER win another game??  Tonight would be a good start.  The Leafs desperately need 28th place to assure Strome, since this would allow a buffer in case someone above them in the standings wins the lottery.

Losing 5-1.
 
Potvin29 said:
LuncheonMeat said:
Will Arizona EVER win another game??  Tonight would be a good start.  The Leafs desperately need 28th place to assure Strome, since this would allow a buffer in case someone above them in the standings wins the lottery.

Losing 5-1.

On the upside, Carolina seems hellbent on passing us.
 
Aren't the percentages for 28/27/26 all below 10%?  Seems to me that as long as we finish in one of those spots, which one doesn't make a lot of difference.  We'll never get to 30/29.
 
L K said:
Potvin29 said:
LuncheonMeat said:
Will Arizona EVER win another game??  Tonight would be a good start.  The Leafs desperately need 28th place to assure Strome, since this would allow a buffer in case someone above them in the standings wins the lottery.

Losing 5-1.

On the upside, Carolina seems hellbent on passing us.

They definitely look more promising right now than the Leafs do.

Edmonton also hammered out a win today.  I really believe the Oilers have a better chance of passing the Leafs than the Coyotes.  They're a pretty hopeless team in many ways.
 
Zanzibar Buck-Buck McFate said:
Aren't the percentages for 28/27/26 all below 10%?  Seems to me that as long as we finish in one of those spots, which one doesn't make a lot of difference.  We'll never get to 30/29.

28th comes with 11.5% chance of winning the lottery. 27th with 9.5%, 26th with 8.5%. That's not an enormous difference, but it could be enough to sway things in the Leafs' favour.
 
Zanzibar Buck-Buck McFate said:
Aren't the percentages for 28/27/26 all below 10%?  Seems to me that as long as we finish in one of those spots, which one doesn't make a lot of difference.  We'll never get to 30/29.

I'm not really rooting for the tank to get McDavid. I know that's a huge longshot. I'm rooting to finish as low as we can so we can guarantee Strome, and we have to finish 4th to do that. Having a team that finished higher and then leapfrogging over us because of the lottery is also something I'm worried about, especially if we finish 5th and drop to 6th because of it.
 
CarltonTheBear said:
Zanzibar Buck-Buck McFate said:
Aren't the percentages for 28/27/26 all below 10%?  Seems to me that as long as we finish in one of those spots, which one doesn't make a lot of difference.  We'll never get to 30/29.

I'm not really rooting for the tank to get McDavid. I know that's a huge longshot. I'm rooting to finish as low as we can so we can guarantee Strome, and we have to finish 4th to do that. Having a team that finished higher and then leapfrogging over us because of the lottery is also something I'm worried about, especially if we finish 5th and drop to 6th because of it.

No question the odds of dropping a spot are way higher than the odds of winning the lottery.

Odds of winning the lottery, followed by the odds of dropping one position in the draft order:

#1  20%    80%
#2  13.5%  66.5%
#3  11.5%  55%
#4  9.5%    45.5%
#5  8.5%    37%

In that #3 spot, the odds are almost 5 times higher of dropping a spot than of winning the lottery, and more likely than not to drop a position.  But the high risk of dropping a position really reinforces the need to finish as low as possible.  Having #5 turn into #6 would be such a bummer, particularly while watching a team with a better record win the lottery.
 
Potvin29 said:
LuncheonMeat said:
Will Arizona EVER win another game??  Tonight would be a good start.  The Leafs desperately need 28th place to assure Strome, since this would allow a buffer in case someone above them in the standings wins the lottery.

Losing 5-1.

Arizona's tank is in better condition than ours - I'm another that can't seem them passing us.  Thank goodness for Carolina.
 
Jolly good show chaps said:
Are any more trades before the deadline likely?  Winnik for a second and hopefully some others?

Winnik's pretty much 100% gone, any others would probably be in the offseason but who knows.
 
Jolly good show chaps said:
Are any more trades before the deadline likely?  Winnik for a second and hopefully some others?

Winnik, maybe Jokinen, Booth, Polak and/or Holzer. Outside chance of Lupul or Bozak being moved, but, those deals are more likely happen in the summer. I'll be surprised if any of the bigger pieces are moved in the next week.
 
bustaheims said:
Jolly good show chaps said:
Are any more trades before the deadline likely?  Winnik for a second and hopefully some others?

Winnik, maybe Jokinen, Booth, Polak and/or Holzer. Outside chance of Lupul or Bozak being moved, but, those deals are more likely happen in the summer. I'll be surprised if any of the bigger pieces are moved in the next week.

We can only wish....
 
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