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Duchene & Turris traded

Andy said:
Oh, and I forgot, the Sens also traded their 2018 2nd with Zabinejad for Brassard. Jeez.
So they don't have their 1st or 2nd this upcoming draft and just traded their 2017 1st rounder. This has to come falling down soon, no?

Really seems like the type of moves the Leafs used to do.
 
In the "Senators make really puzzling trades" department I think you have to include trading Silfverberg, a 1st and a prospect for Ryan as well as trading what looks like a pretty good prospect for Burrows.

As for it all having to crash down, I think what's saved them is having some exceptional drafts(Leafs fans flip their lids over getting an ok player like Brown in the 6th, imagine how we'd react to Hoffman and Stone), generally being pretty good at drafting and stockpiling picks at the right moment. Even with all the trades they still have 3 1st rounders and 3 second rounders in their system from the last three drafts.
 
Yea, Stone and Hoffman as 6th and 5th round picks certainly helps and, well, Erik Karsslon ftw.

Just taking a look at their last 8 or 9 drafts and they don't have a lot to show for their early round picks (Zabinejad, Lazar, Cowen, Noesen, Puempel, Ceci, Bowers were all 1sts) and two of those drafts they didn't have any 1st round picks. I guess they really have benefited by solid later round drafting + whatever deal Anderson made with the hockey gods.
 
CarltonTheBear said:
Looks like Sakic finally won that game of chicken. That's a very, very good haul of picks + prospects there. Getting 2 other teams was actually a very smart move on their part. And I don't say the word "smart" when talking about the Avs very much anymore.

I also like this trade because it looks like Ottawa gets the worst of it. Broken down its:

Colorado gives up: Matt Duchene
Colorado acquires: OTT 1st-round pick, OTT 3rd-round pick, C Shane Bowers, G Andrew Hammond (from Ottawa); NSH 2nd-round pick, D Samuel Girard, LW Vladislav Kamenev (from Nashville)

Nashville gives up: NSH 2nd-round pick, D Samuel Girard, LW Vladislav Kamenev
Nashville acquires: Kyle Turris

Ottawa gives up: Kyle Turris, OTT 1st-round pick, OTT 3rd-round pick, C Shane Bowers, G Andrew Hammond

So Ottawa trades the equivalent of two 1st round draft picks (Bowers was picked 28th in 2017) plus a 3rd rounder to go from Turris to Duchene? I think that's an upgrade but a very small one.

Some things to consider:

- They also got to dump Hammond salary.  That in itself isn't worth a 3rd round pick, but might have been an upgrade from a lower round pick to take the salary.

- Contract situation matters here.  They were going to lose Turris at the end of this season for nothing (they didn't want to commit long-term to him).  They have Duchene for at least another year.

- No matter if the prospects/picks Colorado get from Ottawa turn out or not, I think this deal will be judged by the Sens ability to re-sign Duchene.  If they can't, then they paid a steep price to delay the inevitable

 
Coco-puffs said:
- Contract situation matters here.  They were going to lose Turris at the end of this season for nothing (they didn't want to commit long-term to him).  They have Duchene for at least another year.

Maybe, but I have a hard time believing that Ottawa wouldn't have been able to get Turris on a similar deal to what he signed with the Preds as part of the trade. They may not have wanted to commit to him for 7 years - which is what he was supposedly asking for - but they were trying to negotiate an extension with him, so they were definitely interested in keeping him around. I'm pretty confident that, faced with the choice of losing him for nothing or signing him to a reasonable 6 year deal, they sign that deal every time.
 
Coco-puffs said:
- No matter if the prospects/picks Colorado get from Ottawa turn out or not, I think this deal will be judged by the Sens ability to re-sign Duchene.  If they can't, then they paid a steep price to delay the inevitable

Duchene, Brassard, and Karlsson are all pending UFAs at the same time. That'll be a big test for them.
 
CarltonTheBear said:
Coco-puffs said:
- No matter if the prospects/picks Colorado get from Ottawa turn out or not, I think this deal will be judged by the Sens ability to re-sign Duchene.  If they can't, then they paid a steep price to delay the inevitable

Duchene, Brassard, and Karlsson are all pending UFAs at the same time. That'll be a big test for them.

And they still have Phaneuf at 7 million plus a goaltending situation.
 
Andy said:
And they still have Phaneuf at 7 million plus a goaltending situation.

AND Bobby Ryan at $7.25mil. But the goaltending thing is really big. Anderson will be 39 years old and have 1-year left on his contract. If they don't have a successor in place by then it's going to be awful tough to get those guys to commit long-term.
 
bustaheims said:
Coco-puffs said:
- Contract situation matters here.  They were going to lose Turris at the end of this season for nothing (they didn't want to commit long-term to him).  They have Duchene for at least another year.

Maybe, but I have a hard time believing that Ottawa wouldn't have been able to get Turris on a similar deal to what he signed with the Preds as part of the trade. They may not have wanted to commit to him for 7 years - which is what he was supposedly asking for - but they were trying to negotiate an extension with him, so they were definitely interested in keeping him around. I'm pretty confident that, faced with the choice of losing him for nothing or signing him to a reasonable 6 year deal, they sign that deal every time.

Yeah, we don't know for sure.  But I got the sense the Sens didn't want to sign him for 6+ years at this point in time.  Could that have changed come the end of this season where they haven't gotten anything back for the asset?  Maybe.  Sounds like Dorion wanted Duchene from the moment he became GM and turned an asset he wasn't comfortable signing long-term as part of the package to get him.

http://www.tsn.ca/how-did-it-come-to-this-with-kyle-turris-1.906604
 
WhatIfGodWasALeaf said:
FWIW Dorion said this morning that Turris never entertained a 6 year deal from Ottawa, he was firm on 7 or 8.

I mean, the fact that he signed a 6 year deal pretty quickly with the Preds calls that into question.
 
Coco-puffs said:
Yeah, we don't know for sure.  But I got the sense the Sens didn't want to sign him for 6+ years at this point in time.  Could that have changed come the end of this season where they haven't gotten anything back for the asset?  Maybe.  Sounds like Dorion wanted Duchene from the moment he became GM and turned an asset he wasn't comfortable signing long-term as part of the package to get him.

http://www.tsn.ca/how-did-it-come-to-this-with-kyle-turris-1.906604

He was definitely fully on the Duchene train, but I don't buy that he wasn't comfortable signing Turris long-term - just not 7+ seasons.
 
bustaheims said:
WhatIfGodWasALeaf said:
FWIW Dorion said this morning that Turris never entertained a 6 year deal from Ottawa, he was firm on 7 or 8.

I mean, the fact that he signed a 6 year deal pretty quickly with the Preds calls that into question.

Sure, but I'd be surprised if Dorion just flat out lied like that though, especially when it's something easily fact-checked by reporters who can speak to Turris.

It could be a case of Turris being much more enthusiastic about playing in Nashville.

Honestly, who would blame him? I think the Preds run last year opened a lot of eyes to how awesome that market is off the ice.
 
bustaheims said:
WhatIfGodWasALeaf said:
FWIW Dorion said this morning that Turris never entertained a 6 year deal from Ottawa, he was firm on 7 or 8.

I mean, the fact that he signed a 6 year deal pretty quickly with the Preds calls that into question.

Not necessarily.  Just because a guy will sign a particular deal with one team doesn't mean he'll sign it elsewhere.  Maybe he doesn't like it in Ottawa as much as some people would assume.  Maybe he wanted 7/8 years and would have waited for it to happen on the open market this summer instead of taking 6 in Ottawa.

Then you get a call from Nashville saying "we are going to trade for you if you agree to a deal".  And you're like, well shit, this team has a great chance at a cup in the next few years... I'll take one year less to sign with them and get out of this ongoing contract-situation talk here in Ottawa.
 
WhatIfGodWasALeaf said:
Sure, but I'd be surprised if Dorion just flat out lied like that though, especially when it's something easily fact-checked by reporters who can speak to Turris.

It could be a case of Turris being much more enthusiastic about playing in Nashville.

GMs misrepresent failed negotiations all the time, and reporters generally don't bother to follow up with the players about them since the players will generally give a canned answer about "I'm a member of X team now," etc.
 
Coco-puffs said:
Not necessarily.  Just because a guy will sign a particular deal with one team doesn't mean he'll sign it elsewhere.  Maybe he doesn't like it in Ottawa as much as some people would assume.  Maybe he wanted 7/8 years and would have waited for it to happen on the open market this summer instead of taking 6 in Ottawa.

Sorry, I just don't buy that.
 
bustaheims said:
Coco-puffs said:
Not necessarily.  Just because a guy will sign a particular deal with one team doesn't mean he'll sign it elsewhere.  Maybe he doesn't like it in Ottawa as much as some people would assume.  Maybe he wanted 7/8 years and would have waited for it to happen on the open market this summer instead of taking 6 in Ottawa.

Sorry, I just don't buy that.

What exactly don't you buy?  That guys will take different deals with different teams???

 
Coco-puffs said:
What exactly don't you buy?  That guys will take different deals with different teams???

The whole theory that he would only take 7/8 years from the sens to not test the market. I don't buy that he wouldn't been open to 6 years as negotiations progressed.
 
bustaheims said:
Coco-puffs said:
What exactly don't you buy?  That guys will take different deals with different teams???

The whole theory that he would only take 7/8 years from the sens to not test the market.

Well, you've said you don't necessarily believe Dorion when he says 6 yr deal was never offered from Turris' camp but it doesn't sound like anything other than 7+ years was on the table from him.  So sure, maybe Turris contract demands come down later- but if the guy you've been negotiating with for months keeps saying "7" and you don't want to go that long, then maybe the right thing is to trade him instead of seeing if he'll change his mind.  Especially if you feel you are getting an upgrade (despite the extra assets you are sending along).
 
https://twitter.com/DavidAmber/status/927593497514860544

I saw a number of people write that the Turris contract came together pretty quickly, which was a fair assumption to make but it seems like that wasn't the case.
 
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