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Kessel traded to Penguins

cw said:
If the Pens offered the Leafs Sidney Crosby at $11/yr (he's currently at $8.7?/yr) would the Leafs tell the Pens to eat 15% of his deal in order to fit him under the Leafs cap? That's absurd. They'd jump all over it and pay full pop because Crosby is worth it.

I'd have virtually no interest in Crosby right now if it meant giving up a boatload of assets to get him. I think there's actually a lot of teams in the league that wouldn't be interested.

Does that say anything about Crosby's value?
 
mr grieves said:
Potvin29 said:
http://dkonpittsburghsports.com/2015/07/02/kessel-im-just-so-excited-man-i-really-am/

"I?m excited, right?"

It's a shame that the media were such douches toward him. The guy actually gives a really good interview when he's not being constantly attacked. You don't often hear him spouting off those bland cliches. He speaks like a real person would.
 
Nik the Trik said:
cw said:
If the Pens offered the Leafs Sidney Crosby at $11/yr (he's currently at $8.7?/yr) would the Leafs tell the Pens to eat 15% of his deal in order to fit him under the Leafs cap? That's absurd. They'd jump all over it and pay full pop because Crosby is worth it.

Except that's actually not how trades work. For the Pens to offer the Leafs Crosby in a trade they would want assets back. So the question would become if the Leafs had the chance to add Crosby at 11 million per and had to throw in the sort of assets that would make it worth it for Pittsburgh...would they do it?

That's a trickier question. Would the Leafs want to go forward with Crosby, who's 28, and a significantly depleted group of prospects? You might lean yes but it's not an automatic answer.

And for a team like Chicago or Tampa Bay it's a significantly harder question. How would Chicago fit Crosby under their cap? By dealing Keith? Crawford? Kane? Would they want to blow up a team that's won 3 cups in 6 years to put together a team that would end up looking more like the Pittsburgh team Crosby's been unable to win with?

More teams would move things around for Crosby than Kessel because Crosby's better. But that's not a matter of debate.

That's not really the point.

The point is no team would be asking the Pens to eat 15% of Crosby's salary unless there was some extraordinary offset beyond Crobsy's talent return.

If we don't like Crosby as an example, this really applies to all good top NHLers who are are paid what is perceived as market value and not widely regarded as overpaid. if the player is paid reasonably, there's no need to bring % of salary as a variable in the trade haggling.

It was predicted this would take place with Kessel and Phanuef in a trade and now, with Kessel it has. But we still face denial of Kessel's contract being a problem. That's all I see this is: denial that Kessel was overpaid.
 
Frank E said:
Zanzibar Buck-Buck McFate said:
I think earlier you used the apt phrase "28 teams shrugged" at the chance to get this top-drawer sniper.  That tells you everything you need to know about how Kessel is viewed, and that Rutherford is blowing a very large cloud of smoke.

Remember though, his contract length and $$ has much more to do with this transaction than Kessel's production.  There's a fair bit of risk attached to a 7 year commitment.

If Kessel had one year left on a deal that paid him $8mil, they'd be lined up at the deadline for this guy.

It was a math problem, not a Kessel problem.

Good points both. Still, if I overstated the reasoning as bring character issues alone surely you have too in saying it's just a numbers problem.
 
It's also probably worth mentioning that this year's trade/UFA markets were essentially hamstrung by the smaller than expected cap growth. Just about any trade that involved a player with significant money or term owed to them(or that they were seeking) ended with an underwhelming return. Chicago shopped Patrick Sharp hard and found no takers, Boston didn't get great value on Dougie Hamilton, most free agents got less than people expected.

Teams being lukewarm on adding money certainly didn't begin or end with Phil Kessel.
 
cw said:
That's not really the point.

It's not the point you were trying to make, no, but it's absolutely an applicable point when talking about the value of the two players. The interest in Crosby would absolutely be affected by what the Penguins wanted for him, just like this was here.

cw said:
If we don't like Crosby as an example, this really applies to all good top NHLers who are are paid what is perceived as market value and not widely regarded as overpaid. if the player is paid reasonably, there's no need to bring % of salary as a variable in the trade haggling.

Wrong again. Lucic wasn't widely regarded as being overpaid. But Boston still retained salary on him. Daniel Winnik was reasonably paid last year, but the Penguins still wanted the Leafs to eat salary when they traded for him too.

Retaining salary is going to be a part of any trade discussion when a team is at or near the cap because, again, it's just another asset.

cw said:
It was predicted this would take place with Kessel and Phanuef in a trade and now, with Kessel it has.

Man, it sure is a shame you were coincidentally absent for weeks after the Babcock hiring. Didn't really feel up to talking about predictions then, huh?
 
CarltonTheBear said:
cw said:
If the Pens offered the Leafs Sidney Crosby at $11/yr (he's currently at $8.7?/yr) would the Leafs tell the Pens to eat 15% of his deal in order to fit him under the Leafs cap? That's absurd. They'd jump all over it and pay full pop because Crosby is worth it.

I'd have virtually no interest in Crosby right now if it meant giving up a boatload of assets to get him. I think there's actually a lot of teams in the league that wouldn't be interested.

Does that say anything about Crosby's value?

It might.

Straight up, who do you think most would take?:
Crosby $8.7 for 10 years
Kessel  $8.0 for 7 years

Me? I think Rutherford was stupid in this deal but he knows he isn't going to get many kicks at the can so ....
 
Nik the Trik said:
cw said:
It was predicted this would take place with Kessel and Phanuef in a trade and now, with Kessel it has.

Man, it sure is a shame you were coincidentally absent for weeks after the Babcock hiring. Didn't really feel up to talking about predictions then, huh?

Nope. Didn't seem too important at the time. Two funerals.
 
CarltonTheBear said:
cw said:
Straight up, who do you think most would take?:
Crosby $8.7 for 10 years
Kessel  $8.0 for 7 years

Crosby. I'm glad we've been able to establish this twice now.

On price performance, I think we could substitute the majority of the league and not pick Kessel.
 
CarltonTheBear said:
cw said:
Straight up, who do you think most would take?:
Crosby $8.7 for 10 years
Kessel  $8.0 for 7 years

Crosby. I'm glad we've been able to establish this twice now.

Wow, a lot of people in this thread would take the best player in the world at well below market rate over Kessel at market rate or slightly below market rate!
 
cw said:
On price performance, I think we could substitute the majority of the league and not pick Kessel.

Just quickly looking at some guys in his cap-hit territory and I'd take Kessel over Staal, Spezza, Krejci, Ryan, both Sedins, Stastny, Semin (I know, bought out). I'd probably take him over Parise too, especially when you factor in that Parise's cap hit is only as low as it is because of now-illegal contract tactics.
 
Potvin29 said:
Wow, a lot of people in this thread would take the best player in the world at well below market rate over Kessel at market rate or slightly below market rate!

It really makes you wonder what Detroit was thinking giving Mike Green 6 million a year when most teams would rather have Duncan Keith at 5.538.
 
I am fine with this deal. Kessel was not a good fit for what the Leafs need moving forward.

I think the sleeper in this deal is Scott Harrington. Watched him a lot in the Memorial Cup and World Juniors and he was very solid and assistant captain in his last go around. Hunter knows his character. Not super flashy but really solid all around. If he develops under Babcock into something equivalent to an Anton Strahlman that will be fine. He's only 22, so we don't know his upside yet.

Getting Kessel out though, I think is addition by substraction. Yes, we'll miss the goals short term, but this isn't about short term anyway.

Shanahan and Babcock want a different vibe in the dressing room clearly.
 
Nik the Trik said:
cw said:
If we don't like Crosby as an example, this really applies to all good top NHLers who are are paid what is perceived as market value and not widely regarded as overpaid. if the player is paid reasonably, there's no need to bring % of salary as a variable in the trade haggling.

Wrong again. Lucic wasn't widely regarded as being overpaid. But Boston still retained salary on him.

Google "Lucic" and "overpaid"  - that's hung some with him for a while. Not as notable as some but it's been a subject that has tailed him for some time - more than many others. Squeaked into top 300 in scoring but about top 50 in pay.
 
Potvin29 said:
CarltonTheBear said:
cw said:
Straight up, who do you think most would take?:
Crosby $8.7 for 10 years
Kessel  $8.0 for 7 years

Crosby. I'm glad we've been able to establish this twice now.

Wow, a lot of people in this thread would take the best player in the world at well below market rate over Kessel at market rate or slightly below market rate!

As I said above "On price performance, I think we could substitute the majority of the league and not pick Kessel."
 
cw said:
Google "Lucic" and "overpaid"

I did. I got 458,000 results. Then I googled "Crosby" and "overpaid". I got about 250,000 results.

"Kessel" and "overpaid" yielded 150,000 results. The internet man. It's a web of lies.
 
CarltonTheBear said:
cw said:
On price performance, I think we could substitute the majority of the league and not pick Kessel.

Just quickly looking at some guys in his cap-hit territory and I'd take Kessel over Staal, Spezza, Krejci, Ryan, both Sedins, Stastny, Semin (I know, bought out). I'd probably take him over Parise too, especially when you factor in that Parise's cap hit is only as low as it is because of now-illegal contract tactics.

On the basis of price performance over the next 7 years - taking on that contract for 7 more years at $8 mil, I'd probably take the whole gang of players you listed over 7 years of Phil at $8 mil/yr. Many of them are scoring similarly to him last year and have deals ending much sooner. Kessel's going to be pretty good for a few years but in the latter part of his contract, I think his lack of fitness will catch up to him.

If I'm in Rutherford's position, I might take Kessel because the wick for that GM is likely short and if he fails, he won't be around to deal with the latter half of that deal anyway - it will be the next GM's problem. So other circumstances can change what one might do.

I think Ryan's a better all around player - more than points. Staal and Spezza help as centers. etc. Sedins should be similar for a couple of more years. etc.
 

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