Nik the Trik said:
Not to mention that he actually sort of is coming off a Subban-like season. The Habs didn't try and fail to sign Subban to a big extension after he won the Norris(which is what I assume that Chev meant when he said a "Subban-like season") but rather they tried to sign him to the long term deal after a season where he had 7 goals and 36 points in 82 games. Gardiner is coming off of a 10 goal/31 point season. That's not that big a gap.
The Habs opted to gamble with the two year bridge deal and now it seems unlikely that they'll be able to sign him long term for anything south of 6.5 to 7+ million. The Habs, at the time, probably looked at his requests for a long term deal at 5+ million as something Subban hadn't earned either but it's safe to say they wish they signed that deal now.
I hadn't thought about the comparable between Gardiner and Subban in their respective seasons, but it's a good point now that you mention it. I think it works in the Leafs favour that I believe Gardiner likes it in Toronto and his teammates also. Phaneuf looks to be his partner this season and he's locked up for 7 years, Gardiner has to look at that and think he's got a pretty good potential gig there.
The Leafs may be lucky to get Gardiner locked up at 4-5, but I think it'll be closer to 5 or over with anything over 5 years in length. If it's a bridge deal, I'm fairly confident it's over 3 million per.